Peru El Niño

Peruvian fruit producers are hoping that a mild La Niña weather phenomenon will have a positive effect on Peruvian fruit exporters in 2018 following the disruption caused by El Niño last year.

Gabriel Amaro, executive director of the Association of Agricultural Producers’ Organisations (Agap) told El Comercio that the magnitude of La Niña – when the sea temperature falls between 1 and 2oC – would be decisive in determining the impact it would cause on the country’s fruit production.

“If we have a gentle La Niña this would be beneficial for exports of all fruits, but if the effects are more extreme then it would not be good for anyone,” he told the newspaper, adding that he remained optimistic about the outlook for 2018.

Agap said a clearer picture of La Niña’s severity would emerge in February.

Figures from Agap show that table grape exports fell 9.1 per cent from 196,188 tonnes to 178,305 tonnes between January and November 2017 as a result of El Niño compared to the year-earlier period, while banana exports dipped 1.2 per cent from 186,013 tones to 183,836 tonnes.

Exports of asparagus (fresh and frozen) between January and November 2017 were down 7.5 per cent from 108,183 tonnes to 99,945 tonnes, while shipments of Brazil nuts fell from 5,070 tonnes in 2016 to 3,159 tonnes.

However, exports of blueberries and avocados rose sharply last year as planted area continued to expand and access to new markets increased. Agap said the volume of blueberries, avocados and mangoes shipped between January and November 2017 rose by 54.1 per cent, 27.2 per cent and 15.8 per cent respectively.

Amaro estimated that the overall growth in fruit and vegetable exports last year could be below the 11 per cent increase achieved in 2016.