Proarándanos’s fourth export forecast for 2026/27 reveals a 6 per cent dip on earlier estimates
Peruvian blueberry organisation Proarándanos has released its latest forecast for the 2026/27 season, which pegs the crop at 382,000 tonnes – 6 per cent down on its August estimate of 404,000 tonnes. The reduction is mainly due to worsening weather conditions, the association said.
The biggest fall is expected to hit as the season peaks in week 42, when projected volumes will reach 16,500 tonnes, 16 per cent below the original forecast and 21 per cent down on the year-earlier period.
The latest report from Proarándanos shows that Peru had shipped 95,000 tonnes of blueberries to week 35. This is 48 per cent up on the same period last year, but the association estimates that it represents 25 per cent of Peru’s total export volume for the season, compared to 17 per cent at the same point last year.
Last season, Peru shipped almost 318,000 tonnes between week 36 and the end of the campaign. Based on current projections, the volume for the same period of 2026/27 will be just shy of 286,000 tonnes, or 10 per cent below last season.
Proarándanos did not rule out further falls if the weather phenomenon intensifies.
“The strong pace of progress recorded up to Week 35 should not be interpreted as a sign that the climate impact has eased; rather, it reflects the maturation of early varieties and an increase in planted acreage,” it said.
“Meanwhile, the most significant climate impact remains concentrated in the middle and final stages of the season, as evidenced by the projected drop during the peak week.”
