United Fresh Mid-Year Fresh Produce Trend Report says a convergence of health and nutrition forces is reshaping what ends up in the supermarket trolley

Image: United Fresh

United Fresh has released its 2026 mid-year United Fresh Trend Report, revealing five emerging movements with direct relevance to New Zealand’s fresh produce sector.

They span bold experimental flavour pairings, protein-and-fibre functional formats, mindful fruit-led sweets, premium fruit performance, vegetable-anchored meal prep, and the health and nutrition forces reshaping the weekly shop. Together, they reflect a consumer who is more informed, more intentional, and more engaged with fresh food than ever before.

Produced as part of United Fresh’s six-monthly trend tracking, this report is designed to support growers, marketers, retailers, industry leaders and consumers to anticipate change and position fresh produce at the heart of modern living.

The top trend is the rapid rise of GLP‑1 weight-loss medications, which is set to fuel demand for fresh produce. Updated dietary guidance is elevating protein and whole foods, and growing consumer use of ingredient-scanning apps are together nudging shoppers toward higher-quality, nutrient-dense choices and away from ultra-processed alternatives, the report said.

Emerging evidence from the US suggests GLP‑1 medications are already changing grocery patterns in measurable ways. A December 2025 peer-reviewed study from Cornell University, published in the Journal of Marketing Research, found that within six months of starting these drugs, households cut spending on savoury snacks and discretionary categories. Fresh fruit was one of only four categories to show any increase in spending — alongside yoghurt, nutrition bars, and meat snacks.

Updated dietary guidance has reinforced this shift, the report said. Raising recommended protein intake and endorsing whole foods support the case for fresh vegetables like broccoli, avocado, and peas as credible nutritional performers.

Ingredient-scanning apps reward clean-label products, and fresh produce — a bag of oranges, a bag of broccoli, a cabbage — needs no label scrutiny. It is exactly what it appears to be. The combination of health-motivated consumers, science-backed produce credentials, and a cultural moment favouring whole food over processed alternatives puts fresh produce at the centre of one of 2026’s most important shopping shifts, according to United Fresh.

While the research is drawn from the United States — where GLP‑1 uptake is significantly higher than in New Zealand — the direction of travel is clear, and the implications for fresh produce are worth watching closely, the group said.

The report named the combination of protein and fibre as a second top trend, and said consumers are seeking this functional duo in wholesome, satisfying formats as they pursue gut-healthy, long-lasting energy.

Fresh produce may not dominate a protein count the way meat or legumes do, but it contributes more than most consumers realise. Broccoli, peas, spinach, and silverbeet are among the most fibre-rich vegetables on the shelf, while avocados add healthy fats to the mix. The differentiation for fresh produce is the combination of fibre, which slows digestion, while protein supports satiety. Together, they deliver the long-lasting energy consumers are actively seeking in 2026.

That story has been given added weight by a landmark achievement for New Zealand horticulture. Green kiwifruit became the first fresh fruit ever to receive an authorised health claim from the European Commission. Following more than 15 years of Zespri-led research — including 18 human intervention studies across four global regions — the EU officially recognised in July 2025 that consuming two fresh green kiwifruit daily contributes to normal bowel function by increasing stool frequency. This authorisation is among only three health claims approved by the European Commission in the last five years, passing a rigorous evaluation process in which fewer than one in eight submitted claims receive approval.

Digestive health is one of the fastest-growing areas of consumer interest in 2026 and this internationally recognised endorsement gives retailers a credible, science-backed platform to promote green kiwifruit, United Fresh said.

In 2026, consumers are also approaching indulgence with greater health intention, according to the report. The “sweet, but make it mindful” movement, identified by Whole Foods Market as a key 2026 trend, reflects a shift toward sweetness that comes from real, recognisable sources: fruit, honey, maple and dates rather than refined sugars or artificial alternatives.

United Fresh noted New Zealand’s top fruits are also performing well on the world stage. It said the fresh produce market’s growth story in 2026 is being written by premium, health-positioned fruit. Based on NielsenIQ data, berries, avocados, kiwifruit, and grapes consistently yield the highest value growth across both mature and emerging retail markets.

In markets where overall food volume is flat — such as the UK and Italy — growth is driven entirely by consumers trading up to higher-value produce rather than buying more food overall.

For New Zealand, this is particularly good news because three of these four globally leading premium fruit — kiwifruit, avocados, and berries — are among the country’s top categories. 

At the very moment global consumer demand for these fruits is at its most robust, New Zealand growers are positioned to meet it with product that is fresh, high quality, and backed by strong health credentials, United Fresh said.

The final trend highlighted in the report was produce-led batch cooking. With meat prices on the rise, the report said New Zealand households are looking to fresh vegetables as the satisfying, affordable anchor of their weekly meals. It noted kūmara (sweet potato), broccoli and carrots as healthy, reliable staples that can be easily incorporated into meal prep recipes.