Country should sell more to foreign markets this year, but there are climate-related concerns around production
Peru’s avocado exports are expected to reach 630,000 metric tonnes in 2025, according to a USDA report, which also suggests that a potential La Niña on the country’s coast may reduce production of the fruit in country – despite recent expansion in planted area.
The forecast export volume represents a two per cent increase on the previous year’s figure, which was itself down 4 per cent year on year.
This year’s avocado production is estimated at 844,000 tonnes of mainly the Hass and Fuerte varieties, according to the report.
Hass continues to dominate Peruvian exports, making up 95 per cent of shipments, while Fuerte tends to be sold on the local market.
In 2024, the report adds, land under avocado production was estimated at 70,000ha, of which 53,000 were certified for exports.
With so much of that industry situated along the country’s desert coast, it remains highly susceptible to changes in climate.
“In CY 2025, the unpredictable weather might be responsible for the slowdown in the production growth despite the increase of harvest areas,” the report states.
“Current conditions indicate that Peruvian coastal waters are colder, indicating that La Niña the weather phenomenon, could develop in the coming months. Cooler conditions may impact flowering and result in less fruit production for 2026.”
